Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:18·NE 20, HOU 27

   (1:18) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle [20-Ju.Reid].

   +14pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:21·NE 16, HOU 21

   (8:21) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle to 10-D.Byrd for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:28·NE 10, HOU 7

   (5:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep right to 88-J.Akins to NE 25 for 25 yards (35-K.Dugger).

   +11pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:26·NE 7, HOU 0

   (4:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 88-J.Akins pushed ob at NE 3 for 22 yards (30-J.McCourty).

   +10pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:52·NE 17, HOU 24

   (11:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 10-D.Byrd to HOU 26 for 16 yards (21-B.Roby; 23-E.Murray).

   +9pp

   NWE