Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:07·HOU 0, NE 3

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 66 yards from NE 35 to HOU -1. 31-C.James to HOU 17 for 18 yards (81-C.Harbor). New England challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 66 yards from NE 35 to HOU -1. 31-C.James to HOU 17 for 18 yards (38-B.Bolden). FUMBLES (38-B.Bolden), RECOVERED by NE-30-D.Harmon at HOU 22. 30-D.Harmon to HOU 22 for no gain (50-A.Dent).

   +12pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:45·HOU 0, NE 0

   (3:45) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 19-M.Mitchell to HOU 15 for 27 yards (55-B.McKinney).

   +8pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 13:49·HOU 0, NE 10

   (13:49) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass deep left intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 91-J.Collins at NE 39. 91-J.Collins to HOU 43 for 18 yards (89-S.Anderson; 71-X.Su'a-Filo).

   +6pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:57·HOU 0, NE 0

   (12:57) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler sacked at HOU 37 for -11 yards (93-J.Sheard).

   +6pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:52·HOU 0, NE 0

   (5:52) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Edelman. PENALTY on HOU-24-J.Joseph, Defensive Pass Interference, 12 yards, enforced at NE 25 - No Play.

   +5pp

   NWE