Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:05·NE 3, HOU 0

   (2:05) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 15-N.Harry INTERCEPTED by 21-B.Roby at NE 28. 21-B.Roby to NE 6 for 22 yards (12-T.Brady). PENALTY on HOU-21-B.Roby, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at NE 6.

   +16pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:41·NE 3, HOU 0

   (3:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at HOU 46 for -6 yards (53-K.Van Noy).

   +8pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 15:00·NE 3, HOU 7

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles right end to NE 41 for 13 yards (32-L.Johnson).

   +7pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:45·NE 3, HOU 6

   (:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 25-D.Johnson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:49·NE 3, HOU 0

   (5:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 10-D.Hopkins to HOU 48 for 17 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +6pp

   HOU