Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:29·HOU 33, NE 34

   (:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 14-B.Cooks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-J.Clowney]. NE 12-Brady 6th career game with 5+ TD passes, ties Marino for 3rd most all-time. NE 12-Brady 6th career game with 5+ TD passes & no interceptions, 2nd-most all-time (Brees 7). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +30pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:26·HOU 19, NE 14

   (6:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 20 for -8 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus) [59-W.Mercilus], RECOVERED by HOU-90-J.Clowney at NE 22. 90-J.Clowney for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +29pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:54·HOU 33, NE 28

   (:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 80-D.Amendola to HOU 25 for 27 yards (35-E.Pleasant; 29-A.Hal) [99-J.Watt].

   +26pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:11·HOU 10, NE 7

   (13:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 24-S.Gilmore [91-D.Wise] at NE 49. 24-S.Gilmore to HOU 12 for 39 yards (10-D.Hopkins).

   +19pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:03·HOU 33, NE 36

   (:03) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle intended for 12-B.Ellington INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Harmon (87-R.Gronkowski) at NE -5. 30-D.Harmon to NE 7 for 12 yards (13-B.Miller).

   +17pp

   NWE