Umpire· also: Alternate 1, Alternate 4
Roy Ellison
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.
% Games Over the Total
45%
-4.2ppleague 49% · 112 priced games
Avg Total Points
45.7
+0.1league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesHome teams cover well above the league rate: measurable home tilt.
Favorites Cover %
51%
+2.5ppleague 49% · 112 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
56%
+7.3ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.
Penalties / Game
13.7
+1.1league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
123.2
+1.6league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
114
+8.0league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 8, 2023ARI@SFO13–38Spread SFO -14.5Total 40Penalties 9 (60 yd)51favover9 (60 yd)
- Jan 1, 2023CHI@DET10–41Spread DET -4Total 52.5Penalties 9 (91 yd)51favunder9 (91 yd)
- Dec 24, 2022NYG@MIN24–27Spread MIN -4.5Total 48Penalties 9 (77 yd)51dogover9 (77 yd)
- Dec 18, 2022CIN@TAM34–23Spread CIN -3.5Total 47.5Penalties 11 (85 yd)57favover11 (85 yd)
- Dec 11, 2022BAL@PIT16–14Spread PIT -2Total 36.5Penalties 7 (61 yd)30dogunder7 (61 yd)
- Dec 4, 2022TEN@PHI10–35Spread PHI -4.5Total 44.5Penalties 19 (162 yd)45favover19 (162 yd)
- Nov 27, 2022LAR@KAN10–26Spread KAN -16Total 42Penalties 8 (50 yd)36pushunder8 (50 yd)
- Nov 20, 2022CLE@BUF23–31Spread BUF -7.5Total 50.5Penalties 14 (131 yd)54favover14 (131 yd)
- Nov 10, 2022ATL@CAR15–25Spread ATL -2.5Total 41.5Penalties 14 (126 yd)40dogunder14 (126 yd)
- Oct 30, 2022DEN@JAX21–17Spread JAX -1Total 41Penalties 17 (134 yd)38dogunder17 (134 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.