Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:51·NE 7, HOU 0

   (4:51) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hoyer pass deep right to 85-N.Washington to NE 25 for 49 yards (21-M.Butler).

   +12pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 10:46·NE 20, HOU 6

   (10:46) 9-S.Lechler punts 44 yards to NE 22, Center-46-J.Weeks. 82-K.Martin MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by HOU-51-J.Simon at NE 21. HOU-34-A.Bouye was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +10pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:30·NE 0, HOU 0

   (9:30) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski to HOU 7 for 45 yards (59-W.Mercilus).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 7:32·NE 10, HOU 6

   (7:32) 38-B.Bolden left end to NE 49 for 11 yards (51-J.Simon).

   +7pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:28·NE 6, HOU 0

   (7:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 82-K.Martin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-J.Watt]. PENALTY on HOU-99-J.Watt, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Penalty on HOU-27-Q.Demps, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +6pp

   NWE