Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 13:04·HOU 0, NE 0

   (13:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson FUMBLES (Aborted) at HOU 20, RECOVERED by NE-54-D.Hightower at HOU 19. 54-D.Hightower to HOU 19 for no gain (76-S.Henderson).

   +15pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:39·HOU 6, NE 14

   (5:39) (No Huddle) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle intended for 17-V.Smith INTERCEPTED by 24-S.Gilmore [93-L.Guy] at NE -9. Touchback.

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:58·HOU 0, NE 6

   (11:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 76th career Brady-Gronkowski TD connection, 5th all-time (2nd all-time QB-TE).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:12·HOU 0, NE 7

   (4:12) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 28-J.White INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu (97-A.Blackson) at NE 17. 32-T.Mathieu to NE 17 for no gain.

   +8pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 14:37·HOU 3, NE 7

   (14:37) 12-T.Brady up the middle to HOU 23 for 2 yards (92-B.Dunn).

   +7pp

   NWE