Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:02·NE 21, BAL 24

   (3:02) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 8-S.Diggs pushed ob at BAL 27 for 21 yards (24-M.Starks).

   +21pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:15·NE 27, BAL 24

   (2:15) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right tackle for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:57·NE 28, BAL 24

   (1:57) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers to BAL 32 for 5 yards (44-K.Chaisson). FUMBLES (44-K.Chaisson), RECOVERED by NE-25-M.Jones at BAL 36.

   +18pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:23·NE 10, BAL 10

   (:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at BAL 37 for -7 yards (29-A.Washington). FUMBLES (29-A.Washington) [29-A.Washington], RECOVERED by BAL-41-D.Jones at BAL 32. 41-D.Jones to BAL 32 for no gain (65-G.Bradbury).

   +13pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 9:05·NE 7, BAL 7

   (9:05) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep middle to 8-S.Diggs pushed ob at BAL 35 for 33 yards (2-N.Wiggins).

   +13pp

   NWE