Skip to content

Refereealso: Alternate 126

Brad Rogers

52 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Scoring tracks the league baseline: no Over/Under tilt to play.

% Games Over the Total

46%

-2.9pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Avg Total Points

43.2

-2.4

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Favorites cover well above the league rate in his games.

Favorites Cover %

60%

+12pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

56%

+7.5pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Lower pace: fewer total snaps than the average game.

Penalties / Game

13.2

+0.6

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

116.6

-5.0

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

105

-1.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
6.4
Road
6.8

Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.