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Refereealso: Alternate 126

Brad Rogers

53 games4 seasons (2023–2026)Recent: Week 1, 2026

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

45%

-3.8pp

league 49% · 49 priced games

Avg Total Points

43.0

-2.6

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Favorites cover well above the league rate in his games.

Favorites Cover %

61%

+12pp

league 49% · 49 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

57%

+8.4pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Lower pace: fewer total snaps than the average game.

Penalties / Game

13.2

+0.5

league 12.7 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

116.6

-5.0

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

106

-1.0

league 107

Penalties: home vs road

Home
6.4
Road
6.8

Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.