Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:11·BAL 0, NE 2

   (7:11) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 44-K.Juszczyk to NE 36 for 40 yards (24-Cy.Jones). PENALTY on NE-21-M.Butler, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NE 36.

   +16pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:28·BAL 20, NE 29

   (6:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 15-C.Hogan for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 450th career TD pass, 4th player all-time to achieve that milestone. NE 15-Hogan 2nd career 100-yard game.

   +16pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:58·BAL 0, NE 2

   (5:58) 9-J.Tucker 34 yard field goal is BLOCKED (58-S.McClellin), Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch, recovered by BAL-93-L.Guy at NE 26. BAL 9-Tucker breaks streak of 35 consecutive FG, 5th longest streak all-time.

   +16pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:53·BAL 0, NE 2

   (10:53) 30-K.Dixon right tackle tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (90-M.Brown, 23-P.Chung).

   +11pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:24·BAL 17, NE 23

   (7:24) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at NE 20 for -8 yards (50-R.Ninkovich).

   +11pp

   NWE