Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 9:12·BAL 31, NE 26

   (9:12) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep left intended for 1-D.Parker INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Humphrey at BAL -8. Touchback.

   +22pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 12:39·BAL 31, NE 26

   (12:39) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 7-R.Bateman to BAL 49 for 24 yards (31-Jo.Jones). FUMBLES (31-Jo.Jones), RECOVERED by NE-3-J.Peppers at NE 49. 3-J.Peppers to BAL 39 for 12 yards (7-R.Bateman; 72-B.Powers).

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 14:32·BAL 14, NE 13

   (14:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep left to 1-D.Parker to BAL 37 for 36 yards (21-B.Stephens). Penalty on BAL-21-B.Stephens, Defensive Holding, declined. NE 1-Parker 12th career 100-yard game.

   +11pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:28·BAL 31, NE 26

   (5:28) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 7-R.Bateman ran ob at NE 38 for 35 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +11pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:36·BAL 13, NE 10

   (:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 89-M.Andrews for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   BAL