Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:14·BAL 10, NE 13

   (:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right intended for 15-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Jackson at NE 6. 27-J.Jackson to NE 6 for no gain (15-M.Brown). NE 27-Jackson 5th consecutive game with an interception, new franchise record (D. McCourty & Haynes, 4).

   +12pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:16·BAL 17, NE 23

   (1:16) 7-J.Bailey punts 40 yards to BAL 17, Center-49-J.Cardona, out of bounds.

   +11pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:36·BAL 7, NE 7

   (7:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 35-G.Edwards pushed ob at NE 20 for 31 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +9pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:10·BAL 10, NE 13

   (1:10) 16-J.Meyers pass deep right to 34-R.Burkhead for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-D.Wolfe]. backwards pass from Newton to Meyers before TD pass

   +9pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:50·BAL 0, NE 0

   (9:50) 1-C.Newton up the middle to BAL 38 for 2 yards (92-J.Madubuike; 95-D.Wolfe).

   +8pp

   NWE