Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 12:39·NE 13, BAL 23

   (12:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 11-J.Edelman to BAL 30 for no gain (48-P.Onwuasor). FUMBLES (48-P.Onwuasor), RECOVERED by BAL-44-M.Humphrey at BAL 30. 44-M.Humphrey for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +29pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:38·NE 7, BAL 17

   (6:38) (Shotgun) 21-M.Ingram right guard to BAL 16 for 5 yards (53-K.Van Noy). FUMBLES (53-K.Van Noy), RECOVERED by NE-93-L.Guy at BAL 19. 93-L.Guy to BAL 19 for no gain (73-M.Yanda).

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:36·NE 0, BAL 0

   (8:36) (Field Goal formation) PENALTY on NE-90-S.Calhoun, Neutral Zone Infraction, 3 yards, enforced at NE 6 - No Play.

   +8pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:07·NE 7, BAL 17

   (8:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left. PENALTY on NE-12-T.Brady, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 33.

   +8pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:32·NE 0, BAL 0

   (12:32) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 15-M.Brown pushed ob at NE 25 for 26 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +7pp

   BAL