Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:37·JAX 29, HOU 30

   (:37) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills scrambles left end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +30pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:07·JAX 29, HOU 36

   (:07) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at JAX 30 for -5 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson) [51-W.Anderson], RECOVERED by HOU-90-S.Rankins at JAX 32. 90-S.Rankins for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +26pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:10·JAX 0, HOU 0

   (14:10) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short right intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Jones at HOU 40. 22-J.Jones to HOU 40 for no gain (13-C.Kirk).

   +14pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:25·JAX 29, HOU 24

   (1:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass incomplete deep right to 13-C.Kirk (22-J.Jones). PENALTY on JAX-22-J.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 23 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play.

   +14pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:56·JAX 29, HOU 24

   (1:56) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short middle to 27-W.Marks to JAX 25 for 6 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen).

   +13pp

   HOU