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Line Judgealso: Alternate 87

Thomas Eaton

51 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 17, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

54%

+5.6pp

league 49% · 47 priced games

Avg Total Points

45.1

-0.5

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Spread outcomes match the league baseline: no actionable betting edge.

Favorites Cover %

50%

+1.1pp

league 49% · 47 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

50%

+1.2pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

12.7

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

118.9

-2.7

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

101

-5.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
6.4
Road
6.2

Home team gets flagged 0.6 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.