Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 9:25·HOU 9, JAX 10

   (9:25) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 12-N.Collins for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:00·HOU 10, JAX 10

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 7-B.Thomas pushed ob at HOU 10 for 46 yards (4-K.Lassiter).

   +14pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:58·HOU 10, JAX 10

   (3:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 12-N.Collins to JAX 21 for 10 yards (3-T.Campbell). FUMBLES (3-T.Campbell), RECOVERED by JAX-0-D.Lloyd at JAX 15. 0-D.Lloyd to JAX 17 for 2 yards (86-D.Schultz; 19-X.Hutchinson).

   +14pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:27·HOU 10, JAX 17

   (:27) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 26-An.Johnson (41-J.Hines-Allen) at JAX 4. 26-An.Johnson to JAX 4 for no gain (19-X.Hutchinson).

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:00·HOU 3, JAX 7

   (8:00) 39-C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. PENALTY on HOU-95-D.Barnett, Leverage, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 33 - No Play.

   +9pp

   JAX