Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:22·JAX 20, HOU 23

   (:22) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +32pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:56·JAX 0, HOU 0

   (12:56) 9-L.Cooke punts 45 yards to HOU 10, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 82-S.Sims MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Thomas at HOU 2.

   +24pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:21·JAX 20, HOU 17

   (11:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale to JAX 36 for 31 yards (22-J.Jones).

   +18pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q3 · 1:54·JAX 20, HOU 17

   (1:54) (Shotgun) 4-T.Bigsby right guard pushed ob at HOU 4 for 58 yards (21-C.Bullock).

   +15pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 15:00·JAX 20, HOU 17

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to HOU 1 for no gain (91-F.Fatukasi; 97-M.Edwards).

   +15pp

   HOU