Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 12:24·HOU 6, JAX 3

   (12:24) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 7-B.Thomas to HOU 13 for 56 yards (21-C.Bullock).

   +19pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:57·HOU 0, JAX 0

   (1:57) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 12-N.Collins to JAX 35 for 40 yards (30-M.Brown).

   +10pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:05·HOU 0, JAX 0

   (6:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 11-P.Washington to JAX 45 for 30 yards (4-K.Lassiter). Penalty on HOU-96-D.Autry, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +10pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:35·HOU 23, JAX 18

   (3:35) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 7-B.Thomas for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:07·HOU 12, JAX 6

   (8:07) (Shotgun) 28-J.Mixon left tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   HOU