Down Judge
Andy Warner
Scoring
How high or low his games runScoring tracks the league baseline: no Over/Under tilt to play.
⚠ Only 16 priced games. Interpret cautiously.
% Games Over the Total
50%
+1.3ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Avg Total Points
44.8
-0.8league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesFavorites cover well above the league rate in his games.
⚠ Only 16 spread-priced games.
Favorites Cover %
63%
+14ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
63%
+14ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameLower pace: fewer total snaps than the average game. Flags hit the road team noticeably more.
⚠ Only 16 games with box stats.
Penalties / Game
13.4
+0.8league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
115.2
-6.4league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
105
-1.0league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Road team gets flagged 0.7 more times than the home team (vs league -0.4).
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 4, 2026LAC@DEN3–19Spread DEN -14.5Total 37.5Penalties 6 (30 yd)22favunder6 (30 yd)
- Dec 29, 2025LAR@ATL24–27Spread LAR -7Total 49Penalties 11 (77 yd)51dogover11 (77 yd)
- Dec 21, 2025KAN@TEN9–26Spread KAN -3Total 38Penalties 22 (141 yd)35dogunder22 (141 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025ARI@HOU20–40Spread HOU -10Total 42Penalties 7 (74 yd)60favover7 (74 yd)
- Dec 7, 2025NOR@TAM24–20Spread TAM -7.5Total 41.5Penalties 17 (131 yd)44dogover17 (131 yd)
- Nov 30, 2025MIN@SEA0–26Spread SEA -12Total 41.5Penalties 14 (105 yd)26favunder14 (105 yd)
- Nov 23, 2025NYJ@BAL10–23Spread BAL -14Total 44Penalties 11 (111 yd)33dogunder11 (111 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025JAX@HOU29–36Spread HOU 0Total 38Penalties 20 (170 yd)65favover20 (170 yd)
- Nov 2, 2025CHI@CIN47–42Spread CHI -3Total 51Penalties 14 (92 yd)89favover14 (92 yd)
- Oct 23, 2025MIN@LAC10–37Spread LAC -3Total 45Penalties 16 (112 yd)47favover16 (112 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.