Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 4:37·TB 30, NO 27

   (4:37) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 14-C.Godwin for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:54·TB 13, NO 0

   (8:54) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rattler pass short right to 12-C.Olave to TB 43 for 5 yards (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-31-A.Winfield at TB 42. 31-A.Winfield for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +19pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:50·TB 17, NO 13

   (8:50) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle intended for 15-J.McMillan INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Abram (6-W.Gay) at TB 40. 24-J.Abram to TB 10 for 30 yards (88-C.Otton).

   +16pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:48·TB 24, NO 27

   (1:48) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle intended for 88-C.Otton INTERCEPTED by 94-C.Jordan (90-B.Bresee) at NO 40. 94-C.Jordan to NO 40 for no gain (88-C.Otton).

   +16pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 5:48·TB 23, NO 20

   (5:48) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 44-S.Tucker for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   TAM