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Down Judgealso: Alternate 8

Dana McKenzie

54 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 17, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Scoring tracks the league baseline: no Over/Under tilt to play.

% Games Over the Total

49%

+0.2pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Avg Total Points

44.8

-0.8

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

53%

+4.4pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

51%

+2.3pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

14.0

+1.4

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

120.0

-1.6

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

113

+7.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
7.0
Road
7.0

Home team gets flagged 0.4 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.