Skip to content

Down Judgealso: Alternate 8

Dana McKenzie

55 games4 seasons (2023–2026)Recent: Week 1, 2026

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Scoring tracks the league baseline: no Over/Under tilt to play.

% Games Over the Total

50%

+1.3pp

league 49% · 49 priced games

Avg Total Points

45.2

-0.4

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

54%

+5.5pp

league 49% · 49 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

50%

+1.3pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

14.1

+1.4

league 12.7 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

120.0

-1.6

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

114

+7.0

league 107

Penalties: home vs road

Home
7.0
Road
7.1

Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.