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Line Judgealso: Alternate 10

Julian Mapp

50 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

44%

-4.3pp

league 49% · 45 priced games

Avg Total Points

44.0

-1.6

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

43%

-5.7pp

league 49% · 45 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

43%

-5.6pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

13.5

+0.9

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

118.9

-2.7

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

112

+6.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
6.9
Road
6.6

Home team gets flagged 0.7 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.