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Line Judgealso: Alternate 10

Julian Mapp

51 games4 seasons (2023–2026)Recent: Week 1, 2026

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

43%

-5.2pp

league 49% · 46 priced games

Avg Total Points

43.5

-2.1

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

43%

-5.6pp

league 49% · 46 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

43%

-5.5pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

13.6

+0.9

league 12.7 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

118.7

-2.9

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

113

+6.0

league 107

Penalties: home vs road

Home
7.0
Road
6.7

Home team gets flagged 0.6 more times than the road team (vs league -0.3).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.