Field Judge
Karina Tovar
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.
⚠ Only 28 priced games. Interpret cautiously.
% Games Over the Total
43%
-5.8ppleague 49% · 28 priced games
Avg Total Points
44.6
-1.0league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesFavorites cover well above the league rate in his games.
⚠ Only 28 spread-priced games.
Favorites Cover %
63%
+14ppleague 49% · 28 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
48%
-0.7ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.
⚠ Only 28 games with box stats.
Penalties / Game
13.2
+0.6league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
118.8
-2.8league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
104
-2.0league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Home team gets flagged 0.4 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 4, 2026LAC@DEN3–19Spread DEN -14.5Total 37.5Penalties 6 (30 yd)22favunder6 (30 yd)
- Dec 29, 2025LAR@ATL24–27Spread LAR -7Total 49Penalties 11 (77 yd)51dogover11 (77 yd)
- Dec 21, 2025ATL@ARI26–19Spread ATL -2.5Total 48.5Penalties 9 (34 yd)45favunder9 (34 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025ARI@HOU20–40Spread HOU -10Total 42Penalties 7 (74 yd)60favover7 (74 yd)
- Dec 7, 2025NOR@TAM24–20Spread TAM -7.5Total 41.5Penalties 17 (131 yd)44dogover17 (131 yd)
- Nov 30, 2025MIN@SEA0–26Spread SEA -12Total 41.5Penalties 14 (105 yd)26favunder14 (105 yd)
- Nov 23, 2025NYJ@BAL10–23Spread BAL -14Total 44Penalties 11 (111 yd)33dogunder11 (111 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025ATL@IND25–31Spread IND -6Total 48Penalties 10 (91 yd)56pushover10 (91 yd)
- Nov 2, 2025CHI@CIN47–42Spread CHI -3Total 51Penalties 14 (92 yd)89favover14 (92 yd)
- Oct 23, 2025MIN@LAC10–37Spread LAC -3Total 45Penalties 16 (112 yd)47favover16 (112 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.