Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:49·TB 9, NO 3

   (7:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 16-B.Perriman for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 28, YAC 0

   +24pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:26·TB 0, NO 3

   (4:26) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at NO 26, touched at NO 25, RECOVERED by NO-56-D.Davis at NO 25.

   +17pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:19·TB 3, NO 3

   (1:19) (Shotgun) 22-M.Ingram left guard to TB 11 for 9 yards (26-L.Ryan; 54-L.David). FUMBLES (26-L.Ryan), RECOVERED by TB-94-C.Nassib at TB 10.

   +14pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·TB 0, NO 3

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at NO 30 for 41 yards (30-J.Evans; 6-M.Maye). Pass 17, YAC 24

   +14pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:28·TB 3, NO 3

   (10:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-C.Brate to TB 45 for 9 yards (56-D.Davis). PENALTY on NO-21-B.Roby, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TB 45. Pass 4, YAC 5

   +14pp

   TAM