Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:50·NO 0, TB 0

   (7:50) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill pass deep left to 1-M.Callaway to TB 24 for 40 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).

   +13pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q3 · 1:13·NO 6, TB 0

   (1:13) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle to NO 22 for 2 yards (94-C.Jordan). FUMBLES (94-C.Jordan), RECOVERED by NO-23-M.Lattimore at NO 13. 23-M.Lattimore to NO 14 for 1 yard (10-S.Miller).

   +12pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q3 · 5:59·NO 6, TB 0

   (5:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski.

   +11pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:40·NO 6, TB 0

   (2:40) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to NO 27 for 10 yards (26-P.Williams).

   +10pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 6:25·NO 6, TB 0

   (6:25) 3-R.Succop 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.

   +9pp

   NOR