Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:40·NO 0, TB 0

   (11:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 12-C.Olave to TB 31 for 11 yards (27-Z.McCollum).

   +10pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:57·NO 7, TB 0

   (10:57) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 83-J.Johnson to NO 36 for 32 yards (31-A.Winfield).

   +10pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 0:15·NO 7, TB 0

   (:15) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to NO 39 for 33 yards (29-P.Adebo).

   +8pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:03·NO 7, TB 0

   (12:03) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left intended for 10-T.Palmer INTERCEPTED by 1-A.Taylor at NO 2. 1-A.Taylor to NO 2 for no gain (88-C.Otton). NO-45-N.Sewell was injured during the play.

   +6pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 7:46·NO 17, TB 0

   (7:46) (Shotgun) 1-R.White right end to NO 27 for 16 yards (24-J.Abram). FUMBLES (24-J.Abram), RECOVERED by NO-56-D.Davis at NO 25. 56-D.Davis to NO 45 for 20 yards (67-L.Goedeke).

   +6pp

   NOR