Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:56·NE 19, HOU 13

   (7:56) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle intended for 12-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 28-D.Butler at NE 9. 28-D.Butler for 91 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +38pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:45·NE 10, HOU 13

   (4:45) 21-F.Taylor up the middle to NE -1 for -2 yards (54-Z.Diles). FUMBLES (54-Z.Diles), RECOVERED by HOU-31-B.Pollard at NE -1. TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:49·NE 10, HOU 7

   (4:49) 8-M.Schaub pass incomplete short right to 80-A.Johnson.

   +14pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 6:00·NE 27, HOU 20

   (6:00) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 80-A.Johnson ran ob at NE 11 for 15 yards (24-J.Wilhite).

   +13pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 13:51·NE 7, HOU 7

   (13:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 81-R.Moss to HOU 45 for 41 yards (29-G.Quin) [94-A.Smith].

   +11pp

   NWE