Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:56·NO 19, CAR 23

   (2:56) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 82-C.Fleener for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:02·NO 20, CAR 23

   (:02) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 13-M.Thomas to CAR 43 for 21 yards (26-D.Worley; 58-T.Davis).

   +12pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q2 · 9:31·NO 3, CAR 3

   (9:31) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right intended for 82-C.Fleener INTERCEPTED by 20-K.Coleman at NO 46. 20-K.Coleman to NO 34 for 12 yards (75-A.Peat).

   +11pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:23·NO 0, CAR 0

   (13:23) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees sacked at NO 32 for -7 yards (97-M.Addison). FUMBLES (97-M.Addison) [97-M.Addison], RECOVERED by CAR-97-M.Addison at NO 32. 97-M.Addison to NO 32 for no gain (9-D.Brees).

   +10pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:43·NO 13, CAR 23

   (3:43) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NO-64-Z.Strief, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 3 - No Play.

   +9pp

   CAR