Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:17·NO 22, CAR 27

   (1:17) (Shotgun) 7-L.McCown pass deep right intended for 10-B.Cooks INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Norman at CAR -5. Touchback.

   +37pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q3 · 12:52·NO 16, CAR 10

   (12:52) 8-B.Nortman punts 55 yards to NO 26, Center-44-J.Jansen. 23-M.Murphy for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:06·NO 22, CAR 27

   (:06) (Shotgun) 7-L.McCown pass short left to 22-M.Ingram to CAR 22 for 23 yards (20-K.Coleman; 97-M.Addison).

   +17pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:57·NO 16, CAR 10

   (10:57) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 19-T.Ginn to NO 25 for 55 yards (39-B.Browner).

   +14pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:59·NO 16, CAR 17

   (4:59) (Shotgun) 7-L.McCown pass short middle to 82-B.Watson to CAR 47 for 8 yards (58-T.Davis). FUMBLES (58-T.Davis), RECOVERED by CAR-41-R.Harper at CAR 41. 41-R.Harper to CAR 42 for 1 yard (83-W.Snead). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +13pp

   CAR