Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 12:02·CAR 33, NO 31

   (12:02) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 19-T.Ginn for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 42, YAC 3

   +25pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:10·CAR 40, NO 38

   (1:10) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 82-J.Cotchery for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 15, YAC 0

   +25pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:09·CAR 34, NO 38

   (2:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 88-G.Olsen to NO 30 for 16 yards (91-K.Edebali). Pass 16, YAC 0 New Orleans challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.)

   +17pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:26·CAR 19, NO 16

   (10:26) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 19-T.Ginn for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 13, YAC 0

   +16pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:40·CAR 0, NO 7

   (6:40) 1-C.Newton pass short left intended for 19-T.Ginn INTERCEPTED by 40-D.Breaux at CAR 42. 40-D.Breaux to CAR 20 for 22 yards (1-C.Newton).

   +15pp

   NOR