Referee· also: AL
Peter Morelli
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.
% Games Over the Total
44%
-4.3ppleague 49% · 54 priced games
Avg Total Points
44.3
-1.3league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesMild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.
Favorites Cover %
47%
-1.7ppleague 49% · 54 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
53%
+4.0ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty + pace signals overall. Flags hit the road team noticeably more.
Penalties / Game
13.2
+0.6league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
123.3
+1.7league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
117
+11league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Road team gets flagged 0.8 more times than the home team (vs league -0.4).
Recent Games Worked
- Dec 30, 2018JAX@HOU3–20Spread HOU -7Total 39.5Penalties 10 (83 yd)23favunder10 (83 yd)
- Dec 23, 2018ATL@CAR24–10Spread ATL -2.5Total 46.5Penalties 14 (127 yd)34favunder14 (127 yd)
- Dec 16, 2018SEA@SFO23–26Spread SEA -3.5Total 44.5Penalties 22 (214 yd)49dogover22 (214 yd)
- Dec 9, 2018NWE@MIA33–34Spread NWE -9Total 49.5Penalties 12 (111 yd)67dogover12 (111 yd)
- Dec 2, 2018ARI@GNB20–17Spread GNB -13.5Total 41Penalties 14 (92 yd)37dogunder14 (92 yd)
- Nov 18, 2018DEN@LAC23–22Spread LAC -7Total 47Penalties 21 (163 yd)45dogunder21 (163 yd)
- Nov 11, 2018ATL@CLE16–28Spread ATL -5Total 49.5Penalties 8 (43 yd)44dogunder8 (43 yd)
- Nov 4, 2018DET@MIN9–24Spread MIN -5.5Total 47Penalties 11 (81 yd)33favunder11 (81 yd)
- Oct 28, 2018BAL@CAR21–36Spread BAL -2.5Total 44Penalties 13 (98 yd)57dogover13 (98 yd)
- Oct 7, 2018DEN@NYJ16–34Spread DEN -1.5Total 42.5Penalties 10 (78 yd)50dogover10 (78 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.