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Line Judgealso: Alternate 1, Alternate

Carl Johnson

131 games8 seasons (2015–2022)Recent: Week 18, 2022

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

52%

+3.1pp

league 49% · 117 priced games

Avg Total Points

46.5

+0.9

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

49%

+0.3pp

league 49% · 117 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

54%

+4.8pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

11.9

-0.8

league 12.7 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

123.3

+1.7

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

103

-4.0

league 107

Penalties: home vs road

Home
5.6
Road
6.3

Road team gets flagged 0.4 more times than the home team (vs league -0.3).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.