Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:16·CAR 38, NO 41

   (:16) 3-W.Lutz 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead.

   +21pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 2:43·CAR 0, NO 13

   (2:43) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 10-B.Cooks for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 33, YAC 54

   +13pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:04·CAR 36, NO 38

   (3:04) 79-C.Scott reported in as eligible. 1-C.Newton right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +12pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q3 · 5:04·CAR 17, NO 30

   (5:04) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 82-C.Fleener for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 23, YAC 27

   +12pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:58·CAR 38, NO 38

   (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-C.Newton pass to 17-D.Funchess is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +11pp

   CAR