Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·NYJ 7, BUF 16

   End of half - 2.31 pm

   +70pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:20·NYJ 7, BUF 16

   (:20) (Shotgun) 33-C.Ivory right guard to NYJ 28 for 7 yards (97-C.Bryant).

   +69pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 10:48·NYJ 17, BUF 19

   (10:48) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 21-L.McKelvin at BUF -8. Touchback.

   +28pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:00·NYJ 17, BUF 22

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 91-M.Lawson [99-M.Dareus] at BUF 34. 91-M.Lawson to BUF 34 for no gain (87-E.Decker). QB hit upon thrown, receiver underthrown as result.

   +12pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 14:17·NYJ 7, BUF 16

   (14:17) (Shotgun) 35-M.Gillislee up the middle to BUF 23 for -3 yards (94-D.Harrison). FUMBLES (94-D.Harrison), RECOVERED by NYJ-24-D.Revis at BUF 23. 24-D.Revis to BUF 23 for no gain (64-R.Incognito).

   +11pp

   NYJ