Replay Official
Billy Smith
Scoring
How high or low his games runHis games go Under the total notably more than league average.
% Games Over the Total
42%
-7.0ppleague 49% · 37 priced games
Avg Total Points
43.3
-2.3league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesMild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.
Favorites Cover %
54%
+5.4ppleague 49% · 37 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
51%
+2.6ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameWhistle-heavy crew: penalty rate runs well above league average.
Penalties / Game
14.7
+2.1league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
120.3
-1.3league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
130
+24league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Dec 4, 2017PIT@CIN23–20Spread PIT -4.5Total 43Penalties 20 (239 yd)43dogpush20 (239 yd)
- Nov 19, 2017LAR@MIN7–24Spread MIN -1Total 46Penalties 15 (125 yd)31favunder15 (125 yd)
- Nov 12, 2017PIT@IND20–17Spread PIT -11Total 47Penalties 18 (152 yd)37dogunder18 (152 yd)
- Oct 29, 2017DAL@WAS33–19Spread DAL -3Total 47Penalties 13 (121 yd)52favover13 (121 yd)
- Oct 22, 2017CAR@CHI3–17Spread CAR -3Total 40Penalties 9 (75 yd)20dogunder9 (75 yd)
- Oct 16, 2017IND@TEN22–36Spread TEN -7Total 47Penalties 9 (96 yd)58favover9 (96 yd)
- Oct 8, 2017NYJ@CLE17–14Spread NYJ -1.5Total 41.5Penalties 15 (140 yd)31favunder15 (140 yd)
- Oct 1, 2017PIT@BAL26–9Spread PIT -3.5Total 42Penalties 14 (115 yd)35favunder14 (115 yd)
- Sep 24, 2017KAN@LAC24–10Spread KAN -3Total 48Penalties 21 (183 yd)34favunder21 (183 yd)
- Sep 17, 2017GNB@ATL23–34Spread ATL -3Total 55.5Penalties 16 (104 yd)57favover16 (104 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.