Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 4:13·NYJ 0, BUF 9

   (4:13) (No Huddle) 3-E.Manuel pass deep left to 11-T.Graham for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-D.Davis]. Thrown under pressure, caught near sideline at NYJ 6.

   +9pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:56·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (5:56) 2-N.Folk 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-1-R.Quigley.

   +8pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:23·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (8:23) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 10-S.Holmes pushed ob at BUF 32 for 33 yards (24-S.Gilmore). Caught near sideline at BUF 41.

   +8pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:22·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (14:22) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short right to 15-C.Hogan to NYJ 29 for 12 yards (52-D.Harris). Caught near sideline at NYJ 35.

   +8pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:59·NYJ 0, BUF 10

   (3:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at NYJ 13 for -7 yards (95-K.Williams). FUMBLES (95-K.Williams), RECOVERED by BUF-91-M.Lawson at NYJ 5. 91-M.Lawson to NYJ 4 for 1 yard (67-B.Winters).

   +8pp

   BUF