Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 7:04·NYJ 3, BUF 7

   (7:04) 1-M.Vick sacked at BUF 40 for -9 yards (94-M.Williams).

   +8pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 9:35·NYJ 3, BUF 7

   (9:35) 26-A.Dixon right tackle to NYJ 45 for no gain (91-S.Richardson).

   +8pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:33·NYJ 0, BUF 7

   (5:33) 6-C.Schmidt punts 47 yards to NYJ 17, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 11-J.Kerley to BUF 42 for 41 yards (91-M.Lawson). PENALTY on BUF-27-D.Williams, Player Out of Bounds on Punt, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42.

   +7pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:14·NYJ 3, BUF 7

   (13:14) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at BUF 36 for 17 yards (26-D.Landry).

   +7pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:09·NYJ 0, BUF 6

   (8:09) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short middle to 10-R.Woods for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   BUF