Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 13:26·BUF 14, NYJ 7

   (13:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins to NYJ 5 for 84 yards (15-S.Hakim). BUF-10-R.Woods was injured during the play.

   +15pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:49·BUF 7, NYJ 0

   (4:49) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Williams at NYJ 27. 23-A.Williams to NYJ 1 for 26 yards (7-G.Smith). FUMBLES (7-G.Smith), ball out of bounds at NYJ 1. The Replay Official challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +11pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:04·BUF 24, NYJ 17

   (:04) 2-N.Folk 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.

   +9pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q1 · 9:42·BUF 6, NYJ 0

   (9:42) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 10-R.Woods for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:19·BUF 24, NYJ 17

   (9:19) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short left to 14-S.Watkins to NYJ 18 for 12 yards (30-D.Walls) [58-J.Babin].

   +7pp

   BUF