Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:17·BUF 22, NYJ 17

   (5:17) (Punt formation) 6-C.Schmidt FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 13, and recovers at BUF 13. 6-C.Schmidt to BUF 13 for no gain (54-J.Lattimore).

   +26pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:47·BUF 9, NYJ 3

   4-J.Gay kicks 70 yards from BUF 35 to NYJ -5. 19-D.Smith to NYJ 16 for 21 yards (30-B.Rambo). FUMBLES (30-B.Rambo), RECOVERED by BUF-27-Du.Williams at NYJ 19. 27-Du.Williams for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:02·BUF 22, NYJ 17

   (3:02) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass incomplete short right to 47-K.Davis.

   +17pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:24·BUF 22, NYJ 17

   (:24) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right intended for 10-K.Thompkins INTERCEPTED by 30-B.Rambo at BUF 42. 30-B.Rambo to BUF 42 for no gain (10-K.Thompkins).

   +13pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:27·BUF 0, NYJ 3

   (7:27) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Graham (24-S.Gilmore) at 50. 20-C.Graham to NYJ 34 for 16 yards (74-N.Mangold).

   +12pp

   BUF