Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:36·KC 14, JAX 20

   (2:36) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 9-J.Smith-Schuster INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Lloyd at JAX 1. 0-D.Lloyd for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +42pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:01·KC 28, JAX 24

   (1:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 7-B.Thomas pushed ob at KC 24 for 33 yards (27-C.Conner).

   +29pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:38·KC 28, JAX 24

   (:38) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 7-B.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 6-B.Cook (27-C.Conner) at KC -5. Touchback. PENALTY on KC-27-C.Conner, Defensive Pass Interference, 13 yards, enforced at KC 14 - No Play.

   +23pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:30·KC 28, JAX 30

   (:30) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-27-C.Conner, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:12·KC 14, JAX 21

   (13:12) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED by 22-T.McDuffie [56-G.Karlaftis] at JAX 21. 22-T.McDuffie to JAX 19 for 2 yards (1-T.Etienne). ** Injury Update: JAX-12-T.Hunter has returned to the game.

   +12pp

   KAN