Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:16·JAX 0, KC 0

   (2:16) 2-D.Colquitt punts 53 yards to JAX 15, Center-41-J.Winchester. 81-B.Walters to JAX 23 for 8 yards (57-D.Alexander). FUMBLES (57-D.Alexander), RECOVERED by KC-80-J.O'Shaughnessy at JAX 23. 80-J.O'Shaughnessy to JAX 23 for no gain (59-A.Brown).

   +14pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:00·JAX 14, KC 19

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass incomplete short left to 81-B.Walters (20-S.Nelson).

   +14pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:10·JAX 14, KC 19

   (2:10) (Shotgun) 24-T.Yeldon up the middle to KC 32 for -2 yards (92-D.Poe).

   +9pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:22·JAX 14, KC 19

   (3:22) (Shotgun) 4-N.Foles sacked at KC 18 for -11 yards (99-S.Marks).

   +9pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 12:16·JAX 0, KC 7

   (12:16) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle intended for 15-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 53-R.Wilson [96-J.Howard] at JAX 32. 53-R.Wilson to JAX 26 for 6 yards (15-A.Robinson). PENALTY on JAX-5-B.Bortles, Low Block, 13 yards, enforced at JAX 26.

   +8pp

   KAN