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Side Judgealso: Alternate 118

David Meslow

41 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

45%

-3.7pp

league 49% · 40 priced games

Avg Total Points

42.8

-2.8

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Favorites cover well above the league rate in his games.

Favorites Cover %

55%

+6.1pp

league 49% · 40 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

58%

+8.7pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

12.1

-0.5

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

117.9

-3.7

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

94

-12

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
5.7
Road
6.4

Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.