Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 13:01·JAX 0, BUF 0

   (13:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir ran ob at JAX 32 for 12 yards (5-A.Cisco).

   +12pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:11·JAX 0, BUF 6

   (7:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 86-D.Kincaid pushed ob at JAX 20 for 28 yards (26-A.Johnson).

   +6pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:28·JAX 3, BUF 20

   (4:28) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right intended for 7-B.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 3-D.Hamlin at BUF 40. 3-D.Hamlin to JAX 41 for 19 yards (89-L.Farrell). Receiver overthrown (at BUF 45).

   +5pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:21·JAX 0, BUF 0

   (10:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen up the middle to JAX 6 for 9 yards (33-D.Lloyd).

   +5pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:34·JAX 0, BUF 12

   (3:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 86-D.Kincaid for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 9 yds. into end zone, crossing from middle.

   +5pp

   BUF