Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:08·JAX 18, BUF 13

   (4:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-32-Ty.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +12pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:19·JAX 11, BUF 6

   (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 14:58·JAX 11, BUF 7

   (14:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 30 for -6 yards (91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (91-E.Oliver) [91-E.Oliver], touched at BUF 29, RECOVERED by BUF-25-T.Dodson at BUF 32. Fumble Forced by BUF-59-K.Jonathan.

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:17·JAX 11, BUF 7

   (:17) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 22 for -10 yards (57-A.Epenesa). FUMBLES (57-A.Epenesa) [57-A.Epenesa], RECOVERED by BUF-57-A.Epenesa at BUF 23.

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:30·JAX 11, BUF 7

   (9:30) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs to JAX 42 for 48 yards (5-A.Cisco).

   +10pp

   BUF