Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:41·BUF 6, JAX 9

   (5:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right end to JAX 38 for -1 yards (91-D.Smoot). FUMBLES (91-D.Smoot), RECOVERED by JAX-41-J.Allen at JAX 37.

   +24pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:18·BUF 6, JAX 9

   (1:18) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at JAX 48 for -9 yards (91-D.Smoot).

   +18pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:33·BUF 6, JAX 6

   (1:33) 24-C.Hyde up the middle to BUF 20 for no gain (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes), RECOVERED by BUF-39-L.Wallace at BUF 20.

   +16pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 11:00·BUF 0, JAX 0

   (11:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 39-J.Agnew to BUF 20 for 23 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 21-J.Poyer).

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:11·BUF 6, JAX 9

   (1:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 14-S.Diggs.

   +15pp

   JAX