Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:57·JAX 14, BUF 14

   (2:57) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 10-D.Moncrief for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught along sideline at BUF 3. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 10-D.Moncrief to BUF 1 for 29 yards (47-L.Wallace). Caught along sideline at BUF 3. Penalty on JAX-27-L.Fournette, Disqualification, offsetting. Penalty on BUF-90-S.Lawson, Disqualification, offsetting.

   +12pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:50·JAX 14, BUF 14

   (:50) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short left intended for 84-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 58-M.Milano at BUF 37. 58-M.Milano pushed ob at JAX 36 for 27 yards (75-E.Flowers). Return credit to BUF 49 (spot of foul). PENALTY on BUF-55-J.Hughes, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 49.

   +12pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:03·JAX 14, BUF 14

   (:03) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 82-L.Thomas (20-J.Ramsey, 36-R.Harrison). Hail Mary, receiver and coverage 7 yds. into end zone.

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 15:00·JAX 14, BUF 20

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:16·JAX 14, BUF 14

   (9:16) 9-L.Cooke punts 40 yards to BUF 35, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 19-I.McKenzie. PENALTY on BUF, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play.

   +10pp

   JAX