Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 15:00·JAX 7, BUF 12

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy up the middle for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:52·JAX 21, BUF 26

   (10:52) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 17-J.Hunter for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in front corner of end zone.

   +14pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:34·JAX 14, BUF 13

   (4:34) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at JAX 13 for 62 yards (20-J.Ramsey). Caught along sideline at JAX 27.

   +13pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 11:07·JAX 0, BUF 0

   (11:07) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles left guard to BUF 22 for 27 yards.

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:38·JAX 7, BUF 0

   (1:38) 3-B.Nortman punts 43 yards to BUF 30, Center-46-C.Tinker. 15-B.Tate to JAX 27 for 43 yards (25-P.Thompson). PENALTY on JAX-44-M.Jack, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 27.

   +11pp

   BUF