Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:34·BUF 30, JAX 27

   (5:34) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left intended for 15-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Graham at JAX 44. 20-C.Graham for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BUF-55-J.Hughes, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +40pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:25·BUF 31, JAX 33

   (2:25) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 88-A.Hurns for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +29pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:04·BUF 31, JAX 27

   (3:04) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass incomplete deep left to 81-B.Walters (37-N.Robey). PENALTY on BUF-37-N.Robey, Defensive Pass Interference, 17 yards, enforced at JAX 47 - No Play.

   +18pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:57·BUF 31, JAX 34

   (:57) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass incomplete short left to 10-R.Woods (22-A.Colvin).

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 6:41·BUF 22, JAX 27

   (6:41) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass deep right to 81-M.Easley for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   BUF