Down Judge· also: Alternate 84
Jay Bilbo
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.
% Games Over the Total
52%
+3.4ppleague 49% · 48 priced games
Avg Total Points
46.8
+1.2league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesMild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.
Favorites Cover %
45%
-3.4ppleague 49% · 48 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
55%
+5.7ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.
Penalties / Game
12.4
-0.2league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
119.5
-2.1league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
100
-6.0league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 4, 2026BAL@PIT24–26Spread BAL -4.5Total 41.5Penalties 14 (123 yd)50dogover14 (123 yd)
- Dec 28, 2025PHI@BUF13–12Spread BUF -3Total 45Penalties 7 (76 yd)25dogunder7 (76 yd)
- Dec 21, 2025TAM@CAR20–23Spread TAM -3Total 44.5Penalties 13 (86 yd)43dogunder13 (86 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025NYJ@JAX20–48Spread JAX -13.5Total 40Penalties 11 (104 yd)68favover11 (104 yd)
- Dec 7, 2025DEN@LVR24–17Spread DEN -8.5Total 40.5Penalties 11 (75 yd)41dogover11 (75 yd)
- Dec 1, 2025NYG@NWE15–33Spread NWE -7Total 46.5Penalties 7 (60 yd)48favover7 (60 yd)
- Nov 16, 2025WAS@MIA13–16Spread MIA -2.5Total 47Penalties 10 (70 yd)29favunder10 (70 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025CLE@NYJ20–27Spread CLE -2Total 37.5Penalties 17 (139 yd)47dogover17 (139 yd)
- Nov 2, 2025NOR@LAR10–34Spread LAR -14Total 45Penalties 8 (65 yd)44favunder8 (65 yd)
- Oct 26, 2025CHI@BAL16–30Spread BAL -2.5Total 45Penalties 17 (124 yd)46favover17 (124 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.