Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:04·CAR 10, TB 13

   (5:04) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at CAR 1 for 74 yards (23-C.Henderson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was out of bounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. CAR-26-D.Jackson was injured during the play.

   +24pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:34·CAR 0, TB 0

   (7:34) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at CAR 5 for 40 yards (27-A.Cook).

   +16pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:21·CAR 18, TB 21

   (2:21) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right intended for 19-A.Thielen INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Winfield [94-C.Kancey] at TB 43. 31-A.Winfield ran ob at TB 43 for no gain.

   +13pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:37·CAR 3, TB 7

   (6:37) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep left to 15-J.Mingo pushed ob at TB 9 for 31 yards (27-Z.McCollum).

   +11pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:13·CAR 3, TB 7

   (7:13) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 48 for -8 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at CAR 45.

   +9pp

   TAM